Plans for New Year’s Eve parties in England may have to be scrapped, a minister has admitted, as she said there remained uncertainty over the severity of illness caused by the Omicron variant of Covid-19.
Gillian Keegan, the care minister, refused to rule out lockdown measures being introduced in England shortly after Christmas and said 129 people had been hospitalised and 14 had died with Omicron in the UK.
“There is uncertainty. So, if you can’t change your [New Year’s Eve] plans quickly, then maybe think about it. There is uncertainty. We can’t predict what the data is going to tell us before we’ve got the data,” she said.
Boris Johnson has said no new measures will be put in place in England before Christmas Day, but the devolved administrations in Scotland and Wales are introducing some new restrictions before and after the holiday.
Keegan told Sky News: “We do not have all the information that you would like to have at your fingertips, in particular … the severity of the disease. So it is a difficult balance but we think we’ve got the balance right. You know, saying to the country we wanted to lock down etc, when you’ve got those kind of figures wouldn’t look proportionate.”
She said the decision that was taken on further restrictions was “difficult”. Asked whether there was any chance a “circuit breaker” lockdown might be avoided if the country continued on its current path, Keegan said: “We are waiting for data on the severity, we’ll still have to wait to see where we land on that, but we can’t really say, you know.
“What we’ve said is: up to Christmas, we’re fine, looking at the data, looking at the numbers we have at the moment. But, of course, we have to look at where this virus goes, where this variant goes, so we have to look at that data. I can’t tell you in advance of getting that data, but you should be cheerful because we’re doing a lot more than we could last year. We’re able to see our families.”
Keegan acknowledged that Johnson was refusing to act based on the same data that had led first ministers elsewhere in the UK to take preventive measures, but she claimed this was not a result of indecision or political calculation.
She was asked on Times Radio if the issue was not Johnson’s “own political judgment and that he doesn’t want to do anything with the data that all the leaders are seeing”.
Keegan said: “If we see large jumps in the data, large jumps in hospitalisation … then of course we’ll react. But we don’t actually have that yet. So what [Scotland’s Nicola Sturgeon and Wales’s Mark Drakeford are] doing is … they’re looking at the risk and they’re coming up with a different answer.”
After Johnson’s announcement of no new restrictions in the short term in England, the shadow health secretary, Wes Streeting, said people would be “breathing a sigh of relief that Christmas is going ahead as planned”. But he said: “The country also deserves some certainty about what comes after Christmas so that families and businesses can plan ahead.”
He added: “The virus won’t be taking Christmas off and there’s still a risk of the NHS being overwhelmed in the new year. Boris Johnson is too weak to get any measures to keep the country safe through his cabinet.”
Keegan also defended the government’s decision to reduce the isolation period from 10 days to seven for anyone in England – whether vaccinated or unvaccinated – who records a negative lateral flow test result for both the sixth and seventh day. The change in the rules will be introduced from Wednesday.
Speaking to Times Radio on Wednesday morning, Keegan talked up the benefits of releasing such people early, saying it would allow many to enjoy their Christmas lunch. But she insisted the government was not seeking positive headlines at Christmas, having been forced to cancel last year’s celebrations. She said health officials believed releasing people with consecutive negative tests after seven days represented a similar risk to releasing everyone after 10.
